Political Polls

Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump were the major party candidates in the 2016 Presidential election.  The Democrat Party, Hollywood, the Fourth Estate, and Republican Party leaders opposed Donald Trump.

Both Presidents George Bush, Presidential hopeful Jeb Bush, Presidential hopeful Mitt Romney, and Presidential hopeful John McCain refused to support Donald Trump when he was nominated at the Republican National Convention and when he was inaugurated as President.  During the Presidential debates, Republican Senator Marco Rubio literally warned us that Donald Trump might not have a large enough penis to be a good President.

Opposing Donald Trump or any other political candidate is as American as apple pie.  Undermining our precious right to vote, however, is un-American.  It’s un-American to fill our minds with false information, before we enter the voting booth.  It doesn’t matter whether it’s done willfully or negligently — the effect is the same.  When it’s done willfully, it’s “Oh My God” un-American.  What do political polls do?

At their core, political polls are pure conjecture.  Pollsters, whoever they happen to be, ask questions they invent, of a few people they select, whoever those people happen to be, and then Abracadabra!, with certainty, the pollsters tell us what all of our friends and neighbors from sea to shining sea think.  Even if we were to believe that pollsters ask unbiased questions from a huge sample of people, we’d still be brain dead to bet our nation’s future on that process.

Yet, when we hear unanimous “we-know-better-than-you” voices scream at us on every television channel and stare at us from the front page of every newspaper, many of us fall prey to the Big Lie effect of “They Must Know What They’re Talking About”.  Many of us fall prey to the Madison Avenue effect of “If Everyone Thinks So, We Better Jump On The Bandwagon”.  That’s exactly happened for the 2016 Presidential election.  On November 8, 2018, The New York Times published pre-election polls that showed “Hillary Clinton has an 85% chance to win”.  On June 29, 2106, The Washington Post published an article titled “The 2016 election is already decided.  History says Hillary Clinton wins.”

If I were King, I’d ban all pre-election polls.  I’m not King.  However, maybe I can find a way to limit them.  What if I could prove that the entire news corps has a liberal “coastal” bias?  What if I could prove that the entire news corps knowingly reported what Donald Trump calls Fake News, by filtering the news about the 2016 election?  What if I could prove that the line that separates government from the Fourth Estate is a blur?

I can prove it all.

Chuck Todd is the Moderator of Meet The Press and the Political Director for NBC News.  Ari Fleischer was the White House Press Secretary during the administration of George W. Bush.  Few, if any, know more about the Fourth Estate than they know.  On January 26, 2017, Chuck Todd interviewed Ari Fleischer on the “1947: The Meet the Press Podcast”.  Below is an excerpt from the Transcript of that podcast, of Chuck Todd speaking to Ari Fleischer:

“Can you define the media for me? … I think the slippery slope of merging former government people who go into the media and vice versa, I think that has blurred the line … forty-five years ago … that began the corrosion … that is the first spot of rust on this relationship. … There are a lot of people at fault for the erosion of trust in the media … What do I think we did wrong in this election?  We didn’t tell the story of all Americans.  We told the story of coastal Americans. … Here’s the problem.  The consumer responds to conflict.  They don’t respond to the information.  The consumer will say what they want, but they don’t tune into that. … I do think, and this is a … conundrum for the press corps, and it is the political correctness conundrum. …  I knew how hated Hillary was in the heartland. … Where I think political correctness got in the way of what we all knew as reporters and didn’t fully deliver was how hated the Clintons were in the heartland.  And I think it was a fear of, ‘Oh, is it going to look like it’s too sexist, anti-woman if we say that? … I saw ‘Hillary Clinton for Prison’ signs on lots of yards as long as you went thirty miles outside a metro area, and I think we underplayed it a little bit out of political correctness fears. … If we sort of were straight-up and blunt about — hey do we understand the level of hatred that’s out there, and you know, all the Hillary for Prison signs that are out there — we certainly would have at least made the viewer know, hey, you know, she’s not well-liked in some places in this country in ways that’s maybe times ten when it comes to Trump. … You go to almost any newsroom and I guarantee you almost all of them are from the coasts.”

The next time the Fourth Estate touts a Political Poll, shouldn’t we immediately ask ourselves some questions?

Is the Fourth Estate publishing news, or is the Fourth Estate shaping history?

How does a Political Poll differ from a “group-think” opinion from anonymous people with unknown intelligence, unknown education, and unknown credentials?

How many of the 328 million of We The People were polled?  How many Elites were polled?  How many Deplorables were polled?

How much money do pollsters make for a poll?  How much money does the Fourth Estate make by publishing a poll?

Is the Fourth Estate aware of any verified factual news it could have published in the same space that it used to publish the poll?

Stephen B. Benisch, June 16, 2019

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